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Prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, American intelligence had predicted a whipping attack by Moscow, which would quickly mobilize the large Russian air force, which its military assembled to dominate the Ukrainian skies.
But the first six days of the offensive have significantly lowered these expectations and surprised experts. Russia is now seen as far more subtle about its air power, so much so that even American officials can not explain exactly what is pushing this course of action.
“They do not appear to be necessarily willing to take high risks with their aircraft and their pilots,” said a senior US defense official, speaking on condition of anonymity. The Ukrainian Air Force, on the other hand, although surpassed by the other side in terms of numbers and firepower, still flies, and its defense is surprising military analysts.
After the start of the war on February 24, they expected the Russian military to immediately try to destroy Ukraine’s air force and air defense. This would have been “the next logical step, as has happened in almost every military conflict since 1938.” , wrote the think-tank RUSSIA in London, in an article entitled “The mysterious case of the missing Russian Air Force”.
Instead, Ukrainian Air Force fighter jets are still conducting low-level flights, air defenses, and ground attack defenses. “On the other hand, Ukrainian surface-to-air missile troops are able to threaten Russian aircraft and pose a threat to Moscow pilots trying to support ground forces.” The things they are doing are very turbulent, “said Rob Lee, a specialist. Russian military at the Foreign Policy Research Institute. He thought that starting the war would bring “maximum use of force”.
“Every day that goes on has a cost and the risk increases. “They are not being organized properly,” he added, “and it is really difficult to explain this for any realistic reason.”
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