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The decline in the number of births and the slowing of the rate of population growth in China in recent years will lead to a decrease in the population of the Asian country starting from next year.
In the report “World Population Prospects 2022” published by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, it is predicted that China’s population will begin to decrease from 2023 and by the end of the century will fall to a level close to half of that today’s
China and India are the two most populous countries in the world, with their populations expected to exceed 1.4 billion in 2022. The report states:
Top Albania Radio writes that the current fertility trends, the Chinese population will enter a process of absolute decline from the beginning of 2023 and by continuing to increase the population, India will become the most populous country in the world, surpassing China.
While China’s population is 1 billion 426 million in 2022, it will decrease to 1 billion 317 million in 2050. While India’s population which is 1 billion 412 million will increase to 1 billion 668 million in in 2050. China’s population is projected to drop by nearly half by the end of the century, to 766 million in 2100. India’s population is expected to be about 1.5 billion by the end of the century.
China’s population growth rate at lowest level in 60 years
In China, where the difference between birth and death rates has been less than 1 percent since 1998, the population growth rate has been declining. In 2021, China’s population growth rate fell to its lowest level since the famine of the 1960s when 30 million people lost their lives.
According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the population of China’s 31 provinces and regions grew by only 480,000 in 2021, reaching 1,412,600,000 at the end of the year. While the birth rate is 7.52 per thousand, the death rate was recorded as 7.18 per thousand and the population growth is 0.34 per thousand. In 2021, about 10,620,000 babies were born in China. The number of newborns has decreased by 11.5 percent compared to 2020, where 12 million babies were born. The birth rate was recorded as the lowest in the country at the time records were kept.
Great decline in the labor force
According to UN data, China’s working-age population, which has been in decline since 2012, will suffer major losses for the rest of the century. The working-age population, which is 984 million in 2022, will fall to 767 million in 2050 and 378 million in 2100. It is predicted that the decline and aging of the population will make it difficult for China in the coming years to maintain the momentum of economic growth.
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